New York Giants 2022 preview: Over or under projected win total of 7?

PHOTOGRAPHER:

Each Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday from July 12 through Sept. 2, we will take a look at the projected win totals for each team in the NFL.

NOTE: All over/under win totals are provided by Caesars Sportsbook.

NEW YORK GIANTS

2021 record: 4-13

2022 bye week: 9

Most impactful additions: Coach Brian Daboll, EDGE Kayvon Thibodeaux (first round of draft), T Evan Neal (first round of draft), OL Jon Feliciano

Most impactful departures: S Jabrill Peppers, DB Logan Ryan, G Will Hernandez

Easiest part(s) of schedule: There is a large chunk in the middle of the campaign in which the Giants can make some noise. If they can get to Week 7 with a 3-4 record (or better), they easily can get a couple games above .500 by Thanksgiving. Games at Jacksonville and Seattle before their bye week sets up well before coming home to play the Texans and Lions.

Then after a Thanksgiving game at Dallas, they play Washington twice in three weeks with a home game vs. Philly in between.

Toughest part(s) of schedule: The good news for a team trying to be a nice surprise is there are no long tough stretches. More good news is after the season opener at Tennessee, they have no road games for six weeks, although they do play Green Bay in London in Week 5.

They’ll follow with a Baltimore team that should be much improved, and if somehow they’re either hanging around that win total of 7 or better – with a chance to make the playoffs – they finish with a Christmas Eve game at Minnesota, home for Indianapolis and a road game to finish the regular season at their rival Philadelphia.

Caesars over/under win total: 7 – Over +105 / Under -125; Odds to win Super Bowl LVII +10000

Book it: OVER. While this team is not that much changed personnel-wise from the one that went 4-13 last season, bringing in Coach Brian Daboll – an offensive mind who has helped mold Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen – could be a game changer when it comes to the development of Jones. (The Giants’ passing game was 32nd in yards per attempt last season and 30th in completion rate.)

IF Jones and Saquon Barkley (averaged just 3.7 yards per carry in 2021) remain healthy, and the offensive line can be better than average, this team has the potential to be a surprise. Their defense almost certainly should improve off the ranking of 21 with Thibodeaux in the mix and a decent front line.

The schedule is one of the easiest (29th) in the NFL, and I will likely put a small wager on this over with value just above even money. That being said, there certainly is more value in the +800 odds to win the division. While I have made it clear I am high on Dallas, if any team is going to challenge them, I think it will be the Giants and not the team the public is all over – the Philadelphia Eagles.

Projected finish: 9-8

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