NFL preseason opener shows value in rainy Canton: Best Bets for August 4

Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) throws a pass during an NFL football practice, Sunday, July 31, 2022, in Jacksonville, Fla. (AP Photo/John Raoux)
PHOTOGRAPHER:
Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) throws a pass during an NFL football practice, Sunday, July 31, 2022, in Jacksonville, Fla. (AP Photo/John Raoux)

Each day, one of our experts will offer up a best bet (or two or three) that mobile sportsbooks in Louisiana are offering. It might be a traditional spread bet, a player prop or one of the various odds boosts that books offer.

A reminder for those who haven’t signed up yet: Caesars is offering a deal in which one can get a risk-free bet up to $1,500. In other words, if you were to lose your first bet after you sign up, you will receive a credit for one bet equal to the amount of your bet up to $1,500.

Here is the best bet for Thursday, August 4:

TOP PLAY

The play: NFL Hall of Fame Game, Las Vegas Raiders – Jacksonville Jaguars under 30.5

The odds/bet: -110 ($33 to win $30)

The book: Caesars Sportsbook

Time/TV: 7 p.m. (NBC)

Our take: OK, it’s rare when there’s value in the preseason, but an O/U of 30.5? It’s obvious to bet the over, right? Well, that’s what those who set lines want you to think.

Of course, it would have been better had you bet the under earlier in the week when it was 32, but we’re wondering if anyone will even cross the goal line in the potential downpour at Tom Benson Stadium in Canton, Ohio. There will be few starters on the field for more than a few minutes – if at all – and with both having new coaches, it will be as vanilla (wet vanilla) as possible.

Fact is, this game is more boring than the Pro Bowl, but football fanatics will take what they can get. No team has scored more than 20 points in any HOF Game since Dallas posted 24 on Miami in 2013. Before that, the Titans scored 21 in 2009.

The past two HOF games have seen 43 points COMBINED by the four combatants, and four of the past six games have been under 30.5 points scored.

PITCHING FOR NEW TEAM = VICTORY

The play: MLB, Cardinals over Cubs (Game 2 of DH) and Phillies over Nationals

The odds/bet: +118 ($10 to win $11.80)

The book: Caesars Sportsbook

Time/TV: Phillies-Nats, 6:05 p.m.; Cubs-Cardinals, 6:45 p.m. (Both on MLB TV)

Our take: Both favorites are debuting their newest starting pitchers, as Noah “Thor” Syndergaard takes the bump for Philadelphia, while Jose Quintana makes his first start for the Cardinals since being traded from the Pirates against another former team of his.

Washington came through with one of the biggest upsets of the MLB season thus far when they defeated the Mets as a +290 dog. Doing something similar twice in one week – after trading Juan Soto – seems highly unlikely.

Meanwhile, St. Louis is within reach of Milwaukee in the National League Central and they need to take advantage of a Cubs team that likely will have a bullpen game in the nightcap of their day-night doubleheader.

HOW WE’VE FARED

Wednesday’s best bets

  • PGA Wyndham Championship: Adam Long to finish in top 20 (PENDING)
  • PGA Wyndham Championship: Webb Simpson to finish top 10 (PENDING)

Wednesday’s profit/loss: $0 (0-0, 2 pending)

Total for the week: -$80 (0-4, 2 pending)

Total for August: -$80 (0-4, 2 pending)

Total for 2022: -$220.10 (191-219, 2 pending)

NOTE: If a line or odds are minus, it considers the juice one must lay to place the bet. Ex: Team A is -160 on the money line, one would have to bet $160 to win $100 (or $16 to win $10). OR Team B is a 5-point favorite at -110, one would have to bet $110 to win $100 (or $11 to win $10.)

Conversely, on positive lines, if Team C is +140 on the money line, a $100 would bring in $140 (or $10 to win $14).

Categories: Upstate Action