Cubs first five innings and a Blake Snell strikeout prop play: Best bets for Aug. 8

San Diego Padres starting pitcher Blake Snell works against a Colorado Rockies batter during the first inning of a baseball game Wednesday, Aug. 3, 2022, in San Diego. (AP Photo/Gregory Bull)
PHOTOGRAPHER:
San Diego Padres starting pitcher Blake Snell works against a Colorado Rockies batter during the first inning of a baseball game Wednesday, Aug. 3, 2022, in San Diego. (AP Photo/Gregory Bull)

Each day, one of our experts will offer up a best bet (or two or three) that mobile sportsbooks are offering. It might be a traditional spread bet, a player prop or one of the various odds boosts that books offer.

Best bets for Monday, August 8:

TOP PLAY

The play: Cubs run line (-0.5) over Nationals (first five innings)

The odds/bet: -120 ($30 to win $25)

The book: BetMGM

Time/TV: 8:05 p.m. (MLB.TV or MLB Extra Innings)

Our take: The Cubs bullpen is shaky enough to where we don’t feel confident playing the nine inning run line, which is why we’re pivoting to a first five innings play.

Cubs starting pitcher Keegan Thompson started off the season in the bullpen, so working deep into games hasn’t been his strength since joining the rotation, but he’s delivered solid results overall and should be able to contain a struggling Nationals lineup through five.

The Nationals also look vulnerable on the pitching side with Anibal Sanchez taking the mound with a 7.65 season ERA, so the Cubs should be able to score enough to have the early lead even if Thompson struggles unexpectedly.

BLAKE SNELL STRIKEOUT OVER

The play: MLB prop: Padres starting pitcher Blake Snell over 7.5 strikeouts

The odds/bet: +100 ($10 to win $10)

The book: FanDuel

Time/TV: Giants at Padres 9:40 p.m. (MLB.TV or MLB Extra Innings)

Our take: The Padres will look to get back on track tonight after being swept by the Dodgers, but we’ve got a prop play lined up in case the Giants pull the upset.

That would be Padres starting pitcher Blake Snell’s over on strikeouts, as he’s back healthy and is racking up K’s at his usual elite clip, and he struck out 11 Giants in the last time he faced them last month.

The Giants are among the top 10 in overall MLB team strikeout leaders, so Snell should be able to climb over 7.5 tonight, and there’s value to be had at +100.

HOW WE’VE FARED

Sunday’s best bets

  • MLB: Marlins at Cubs over eight runs (LOST $33)
  • MLB parlay: Phillies over Nationals and Brewers over Reds (LOST $12.30)
  • English Premier League: Brighton +1 goal over Manchester United (WON $12)

Sunday’s profit/loss: -$33.30 (1-2)

Total for the week: -$172 (4-12, ouch!)

Total for August: -$172 (4-12)

Total for 2022: -$312.10 (195-227, time to shake back)

NOTE: If a line or odds are minus, it considers the juice one must lay to place the bet. Ex: Team A is -160 on the money line, one would have to bet $160 to win $100 (or $16 to win $10). OR Team B is a 5-point favorite at -110, one would have to bet $110 to win $100 (or $11 to win $10.)

Conversely, on positive lines, if Team C is +140 on the money line, a $100 would bring in $140 (or $10 to win $14).

Categories: Upstate Action