Washington Commanders 2022 preview: Over or under projected win total of 7.5?

Washington Commanders quarterback Carson Wentz looks to pass during practice at the team's training facility on Wednesday  in Ashburn, Va. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
PHOTOGRAPHER:
Washington Commanders quarterback Carson Wentz looks to pass during practice at the team's training facility on Wednesday in Ashburn, Va. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

Each Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday from July 12 through Sept. 2, we will take a look at the projected win totals for each team in the NFL, running one division per week for eight weeks.

NOTE: All over/under win totals are provided by Caesars Sportsbook.

WASHINGTON COMMANDERS

2021 record: 7-10

2022 bye week: 14

Most impactful additions: QB Carson Wentz, WR Jahan Dotson (in second round of draft), G Trai Turner, G Andrew Norwell

Most impactful departures: G Brandon Scherff, TE Ricky Seals-Jones

Easiest part(s) of schedule: Like most of their NFC East counterparts, there are several spots where, if the Commanders are better than in 2021, can take advantage. They open the season at home against perennial bottom-dwellers Jacksonville and at Detroit before a tough run.

Then, if they can get through the next eight weeks by breaking even, Weeks 11 through 15 could be very beneficial to any potential playoff chances with games at Houston and home for Atlanta before playing the Giants in back-to-back games with their (very late) bye week sandwiched in between.

Toughest part(s) of schedule: Unlike their NFC East counterparts, they have two semi-brutal stretched that could hinder their opportunity to make a move. From Weeks 3 through 10, they play Philly twice, at Dallas, Tennessee, Green Bay, at Indianapolis with Minnesota and Chicago in there.

They also finish the season with a three-game run at San Francisco, home for Cleveland and Dallas. Ouch.

Caesars over/under win total (as of Aug. 10): 7.5 – Over -115 / Under -105; Odds to win Super Bowl LVII at +8000

Book it: UNDER. Those two aforementioned streaks in the early part of the season at the end seem to spell doom for a team that – at best – is as good as it was last year.

Do we really think they’ll improve from their 21st offensive ranking because Wentz is taking over for Taylor Heinicke? Do we really think they have done enough on defense to be better than the 22nd-place finish of last year? I don’t.

This is not a good division, which is the only saving grace the Commanders have, but it seems to me more likely Ron Rivera is fired – or quits – before the season has ended than they end up with a winning record. Also seems like this win total is a little generous, which means this could be the best value in the division for playing a total.

Even if you’re higher on this team than I am, don’t waste money on any of the division, conference or, GULP, Super Bowl odds. New name – again – same mediocre bunch of underachievers.

Projected finish: 6-11

Categories: Upstate Action

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