Each Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday from July 12 through Sept. 2, we will take a look at the projected win totals for each team in the NFL, running one division per week for eight weeks.
NOTE: All over/under win totals are provided by Caesars Sportsbook.
2021 record: 9-8
2022 bye week: 7
Most impactful additions: WR AJ Brown, DT Jordan Davis
Most impactful departure: S Rodney McLeod
Easiest part(s) of schedule: Plenty of places. Let’s start with the opening four weeks, as there isn’t a single team during that stretch that had a winning record in 2021, including at Detroit, Minnesota, at Washington and Jacksonville.
After their early bye in Week 7, Philly will host Pittsburgh before going to Houston and coming back home to play Washington again.
If this team is as good as most experts think they are, they easily could be 8-2 or 7-3 before Thanksgiving, when the schedule gets (a little tougher).
Toughest part(s) of schedule: No question the three weeks that could define this team and this season will be from Nov. 20 through Dec. 4, when the Eagles travel to Indianapolis before hosting Green Bay in prime time and Tennessee the following week.
Finishing at Dallas and with back-to-back home games against the Saints and Giants could prove interesting.
Caesars over/under win total as of Aug. 10: 9.5 – Over -140 / Under +120; Odds to win Super Bowl LVII at +2500
Book it: UNDER. This is one of the few picks I am going with straight gut and no other real reason (except maybe to fade the public). That means there’s no way I am touching this team in any capacity.
There’s no value on the division title at +155, and there certainly isn’t anything worth playing beyond that – NFC at +1100 and the Super Bowl (all of which have dropped significantly in the past couple weeks).
Yes, the Eagles made a big move to get wide receiver AJ Brown, but I am not sold Jalen Hurts is ready to become a prime-time quarterback. Oh, that and Hurts really remains their biggest threat as a rusher, which is beyond less than ideal. (That being said, Miles Sanders is heading into the final year of his rookie contract, which could give him a push toward his first 1,000 rushing-yard season IF he can stay healthy.)
Philly’s defense is good – not great – and they got a steal in the first round with the slipping of Jordan Davis all the way to 13th in the first round.
So what is it? It seems like everyone loves them and second-year coach Nick Sirianni, and there was no team in the NFL I was further off in my predictions last year than the Eagles. Again, call it a hunch, call me an idiot, call me stubborn, but I am just not buying this team – even with this crazy easy schedule.
Give me 2½-1 odds they finish below the Giants, and I’ll take it faster than you can offer it.
Projected finish: 8-9
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