Each day, one of our experts will offer up a best bet (or two or three). It might be a traditional spread bet, a player prop or one of the various odds boosts that books offer.
Here is the best bet for Wednesday, August 10:
The play: MLB moneyline, Red Sox over Orioles
The odds/bet: -120 ($36 to win $30)
The book: Caesars Sportsbook
Time/TV: 7:10 p.m. (MLB TV)
Our take: Baltimore is hot, having won seven of their past eight games, while Boston is fading fast and are losers of six of their past eight.
So this one seems easy, right? As Lee Corso would say, “Not so fast, my friend.”
Five of those seven wins for the O’s came against Pittsburgh and Texas, while three of the aforementioned losses for the Red Sox came against the Braves and Astros. In other words, the streaks of late are a bit misleading.
Boston hasn’t had any trouble scoring runs, and they should be able to get that Fenway Park scoreboard guy getting plenty of exercise Thursday night. The Orioles send to the mound Austin Voth, who gave up three runs in five innings against the Pirates his last time out and has a season ERA of 5.53 (down from 6.75 just a few weeks ago).
What little chances Boston has remaining to make a run at the playoffs begins now, and we’re not ready to write them off just yet. This is especially true with the fact nearly 80 percent of the public is on Baltimore in this one.
HOW WE’VE FARED
PGA FedEx St. Jude Classic: Jon Rahm to finish in the top 10 (PENDING)
MLB moneyline: Phillies over Marlins (WON $10)
Wednesday’s profit/loss: +$10 (1-0, 1 pending)
Total for the week: +$5 (3-2, 1 pending)
Total for August: -$167 (7-14, 1 pending)
Total for 2022: -$307.10 (198-229, 1 pending)
NOTE: If a line or odds are minus, it considers the juice one must lay to place the bet. Ex: Team A is -160 on the money line, one would have to bet $160 to win $100 (or $16 to win $10). OR Team B is a 5-point favorite at -110, one would have to bet $110 to win $100 (or $11 to win $10.)
Conversely, on positive lines, if Team C is +140 on the money line, a $100 would bring in $140 (or $10 to win $14).