NFL preseason games are supposed to go under, right? Best Bets for Aug. 13

PHOTOGRAPHER:

Each day, one of our experts at Homefield Sports offer up a best bet (or two or three) that mobile sportsbooks are offering. It might be a traditional spread bet, a player prop or one of the various odds boosts that books offer.

Here are the best bets for Saturday, August 13:

TOP PLAY

The play: Dolphins-Buccaneers UNDER 32½

The odds/bet: -110 ($33 to win $30)

The book: Caesars Sportsbook

Time/TV: 7:30 p.m.

Our take: Man, what a tough Friday night for Best Bets, continuing a tough month for us. Halfway through the night, it looked like we’d sweep, with both the Eagles and the Marlins off to nice leads. But it wasn’t meant to be, with the Marlins wilting against the Braves and the Eagles coughing up a big lead to the Jets’ fourth-stringers.

Sometimes that’s how sports betting goes.

We’re going to try to get back on the right side with an under bet here, which might seem obvious considering preseason games always go under, right?

Uh, no. Not this year. After a preseason full of unders last year, including 20 of the first 23, all eight preseason games this year have gone over the total at kickoff (a couple of them were close enough to where you could have hit an under if you got the right price.)

But I’m banking on this one to break the streak. The Buccaneers, of course, are without Tom Brady in this one (he probably wouldn’t have played anyway). Bucs coach Todd Bowles has stressed the importance of running in preseason camp, and Dolphins coach Mike McDaniel came right out and said he didn’t care about the preseason.

It’s a low total, but this game seems tailor-made for a quick-moving second half with lots of time coming off the clock without points going up on the board.

GOLF MATCH BET

The play: PGA St. Jude Classic, Joohyung Kim better third round than Shane Lowry and Davis Riley

The odds/bet: +160 ($10 to win $16)

The book: Caesars Sportsbook

Time/TV: Golf Channel (1-3 p.m.); NBC (from 3 p.m.)

Our take: Those who watched the Wyndham Championship last week were introduced to Joohyung Kim — also known as Tom Kim — as he took the field by storm on the weekend with an incredible putting performance that left the leaderboard in his wake.

We’re not saying Kim is going to do that again, not exactly, anyway. He’s seven strokes off the lead with 32 players in front of him. But what’s remarkable is that Kim is in this position against a good field while losing strokes putting. The two other players in this three-ball bet have both gained against the field putting, which as we always say in this space is the most fickle part of a golfer’s game.

For a +160 price, it certainly seems possible that Kim could rediscover some of that putting magic from last week while Lowry and Riley slip a little bit.

HOW WE’VE FARED

Friday’s best bets

NFL preseason: Eagles pick ’em over Jets (LOST $33)

MLB money line: Marlins over Braves (LOST $10)

Friday’s profit/loss: -$43 (0-2 on two heartbreakers)

Total for the week: -$8 (4-4, 1 pending)

Total for August: -$180 (8-16, 1 pending)

Total for 2022: -$320.10 (199-231, 1 pending)

NOTE: If a line or odds are minus, it considers the juice one must lay to place the bet. Ex: Team A is -160 on the money line, one would have to bet $160 to win $100 (or $16 to win $10). OR Team B is a 5-point favorite at -110, one would have to bet $110 to win $100 (or $11 to win $10.)

Conversely, on positive lines, if Team C is +140 on the money line, a $100 would bring in $140 (or $10 to win $14).

Categories: Upstate Action