San Francisco 49ers 2022 preview: Over or under projected win total of 10?

San Francisco 49ers quarterback Trey Lance looks to pass on a play action in the team's NFL preseason game against the Green Bay Packers last Friday in Santa Clara, Calif. (Santiago Mejia/San Francisco Chronicle via AP)
PHOTOGRAPHER:
San Francisco 49ers quarterback Trey Lance looks to pass on a play action in the team's NFL preseason game against the Green Bay Packers last Friday in Santa Clara, Calif. (Santiago Mejia/San Francisco Chronicle via AP)

Each Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday from July 12 through Sept. 2, we will take a look at the projected win totals for each team in the NFL, running one division per week for eight weeks.

NOTE: All over/under win totals are provided by Caesars Sportsbook.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ers

2021 record: 10-7; defeated Dallas, 23-17, in NFC wild-card round; defeated Green Bay, 13-10, in divisional round; lost to Los Angeles Rams, 20-17, in championship game

2022 bye week: 9

Most impactful additions: CB Charvarius Ward, RB Ty Davis-Price (third round from LSU), DE Drake Jackson (second round)

Most impactful departures: RB Raheem Mostert, G Laken Tomlinson, S Jaquiski Tartt, DT DJ Jones

Easiest part(s) of schedule: The NFL did this team a major favor, considering all their tough opponents. San Fran is set up to get off to a hot start by going to Chicago for the opener, home for Seattle and at Denver in the first three weeks.

Then, if they can defeat the Rams on a Monday night in Week 4, they could easily be 6-0 by the time they play Kansas City in Week 7 after games at Carolina and Atlanta.

A mini stretch the two weeks before Christmas at Seattle and home for Washington should prove beneficial, as well.

Toughest part(s) of schedule: Remember a few lines ago we said the 49ers could be 6-0, well they might need to be with their schedule the three games that follow against the Chiefs and at the Rams before the bye week, then home on a Sunday night for the Chargers.

After a Monday night game in Mexico City to play the Cardinals, they host three games in a row, but it’s against the Saints, Dolphins and Bucs.

Caesars over/under win total (as of Aug. 17): 10 – Over -110 / Under -110; Odds to win Super Bowl LVII +1600.

Book it: OVER. Best value in the division, and it’s not close. While we don’t necessarily think the 49ers will start 6-0, opening 5-1 could almost be called likely – IF Trey Lance can adjust to being the starter at quarterback right off the bat.

In other words, we’re assuming a whole bunch, but this team is so good everywhere else, it’s hard not to think they will be in a position to where these preseason numbers offer a ton of value.

Deebo Samuel is signed for three more years, and if Elijah Mitchell can stay healthy, this running game will be near the top of the NFL rankings. Oh, and TE George Kittle is ready to go for 17 games. (Well, he says he is, anyway.) Last year, they were in the top 7 in both offense in defense, and it could be that way once again.

While we love the over 10 wins, even better value might come from division odds at +180. The Rams’ schedule is significantly tougher than this one, and Arizona might open up 0-3.

If these guys have a one- or two game lead by the start of December, Coach Kyle Shanahan will make sure they cruise to the NFC West title.

Projected finish: 12-5

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