2021 record: 8-9
2022 bye week: 10
Most impactful additions: S Marcus Williams, T Morgan Moses, S Kyle Hamilton (first round)
Most impactful departures: WR Hollywood Brown, WR Sammy Watkins
Easiest part(s) of schedule: Opening with the Jets and Dolphins should lead to a 2-0 start, but then what? A tough run until their bye week opens up favorably after that with a stretch of Carolina, at Jacksonville, Denver and at Pittsburgh.
The Ravens get the Steelers again on New Year’s Day the week after they host Atlanta on Christmas Eve.
Toughest part(s) of schedule: Weeks 3 through 9 could cause some problems for this team, especially if their offensive line isn’t much improved and RB JK Dobbins isn’t fully healthy. After going to New England in Week 3, they host Buffalo and Cincinnati.
Following a trip to MetLife to face the Giants, Baltimore hosts Cleveland and is then on the road at Tampa Bay and New Orleans.
Caesars over/under win total (as of Aug. 24): 9.5 – Over -160 / Under +140; Odds to win Super Bowl LVII at +1800
Book it: UNDER. Repeatedly when Coach John Harbaugh has a sub-par season, his teams follow it up with at least a decent one. That being said, it is really tough to buy in on Lamar Jackson, especially since it doesn’t appear to me there was enough of an upgrade on the offensive line and the fact he has fewer weapons at wideout than he had in 2021 (which wasn’t all that much anyway).
Mark Andrews might be the best tight end in the league right now, and he is only 26 years old. However, take a look at the wide receiver depth chart: Rashod Bateman, who was good in his rookie season with 515 yards and a touchdown, but a No. 1? Then there’s Devin Duvernay, who has 53 catches in 32 career games, and at the No. 3, it’s James Proche. (Yeah, I said “Who?” too.)
Their 25th-ranked defense from a year ago didn’t see many changes, and their big signing was Marcus Williams for the Saints. Nuff said.
I disagree with our expert, Adam Chernoff, but I am not sure why they are priced so high, and I actually see small value on the under 9.5. I may be generous with this projected record, but I am basing it off the 23rd-toughest schedule and it’s tough to see Jackson and Harbaugh having consecutive losing seasons in a very balanced division.
Projected finish: 9-8
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