Chicago Bears 2022 preview: Over or under projected win total of 6.5?

Chicago Bears quarterback Justin Fields drops back to pass during a preseason game against the Seattle Seahawks last Thursday in Seattle. (AP Photo/Stephen Brashear)
PHOTOGRAPHER:
Chicago Bears quarterback Justin Fields drops back to pass during a preseason game against the Seattle Seahawks last Thursday in Seattle. (AP Photo/Stephen Brashear)

CHICAGO BEARS

2021 record: 6-11

2022 bye week: 14

Most impactful additions: WR Byron Pringle, S Jaquan Brisker (second round)

Most impactful departures: LB Khalil Mack, WR Allen Robinson, QB Andy Dalton

Easiest part(s) of schedule: November is by far the easiest month for these Bears, as they host Miami and Detroit before traveling to Atlanta and the Jets.

There are other little spots where Chicago could – and will have to – make a run if they are to have any chance at surpassing the 6.5-win total for optimistic fans and bettors, including the Weeks 3 and 4 stretch of Houston and at the Giants.

Toughest part(s) of schedule: Too many to think the Bears have any shot at being a playoff-caliber team. Opening with San Francisco and Green Bay is almost a sure-fire 0-2 start, and even though four of the final five games are at home, they could all be losses with Green Bay, Philadelphia, Buffalo, at Detroit and Minnesota.

Caesars over/under win total (as of Aug. 25): 6 – Over +105 / Under -125; Odds to win Super Bowl LVII +15000

Book it: UNDER. According to last year’s win totals, the schedule comes out to be one of the easier ones in the league. A deep glance says otherwise.

There are multiple stretches of potential losing streaks for a team that has a quarterback still trying to figure things out in Justin Fields and possibly the worst offensive line in football. Oh, and they have a bottom-tier receiving corps now that Allen Robinson has departed to Hollywood to play for the defending-Super Bowl champs. Is Darnell Mooney a No. 1 WR?

David Montgomery is an above-average running back, but how is he going to find holes on a consistent basis, and he already has an “undisclosed” injury after missing four games last season.

The defense is nothing to brag about, either, and they lost – by far – their best player in Khalil Mack.

It is easy to say it would be one of the biggest surprises in the NFL if this team finds a way to make a run and finish above .500. It would be an even bigger surprise if they make the playoffs. Quite frankly, these Bears could be in the running with Atlanta, the Jets and Washington for the No. 1 pick in the 2023 NFL Draft.

There isn’t enough value on the under at -150, but winning more than six games appears to be quite a stretch, even if you’re the most optimistic of Bears fans.

Projected finish: 5-12

Categories: Upstate Action

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