Tennessee Titans 2022 preview: Over or under projected win total of 9.5?

Tennessee Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill throws to a receiver during warmups before last Saturday's game against the Arizona Cardinals in Nashville, Tenn. (AP Photo/Wade Payne)
PHOTOGRAPHER:
Tennessee Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill throws to a receiver during warmups before last Saturday's game against the Arizona Cardinals in Nashville, Tenn. (AP Photo/Wade Payne)

TENNESSEE TITANS

2021 record: 12-5; Lost in divisional round to Cincinnati, 19-16

2022 bye week: 6

Most impactful additions: WR Treylon Burks (first round), WR Robert Woods, QB Malik Willis (third round), TE Austin Hooper

Most impactful departures: WR AJ Brown, WR Julio Jones, RB D’Onta Foreman

Easiest part(s) of schedule: Although there are two tough games in their final five weeks with a Dec. 18 tilt at the Los Angeles Chargers and a Thursday night game on Dec. 29 vs. Dallas, Tennessee will face Jacksonville twice and Houston.

Also playing the rest of the NFC East could prove beneficial with two of those games – against the Giants in Week 1 and then Washington just before the bye week.

Toughest part(s) of schedule: Unquestionably, Weeks 9 through 13 will tell us a whole lot about whether the Titans are true contenders this season for something more than just a playoff spot with consecutive games at Kansas City (Sunday night), Denver, at Green Bay and Cincinnati.

If those games will tell us whether they can be a contender for going beyond the opening round of the playoffs, Week 4 at Indianapolis and then getting the Colts again at home four weeks later will be an indicator of whether they are likely to win the AFC South for the third consecutive season.

Caesars over/under win total (as of Aug. 29): 9.5 – Over +135 / Under -155; Odds to win Super Bowl LVII at 3500

Book it: OVER. I get it. The pro handicappers LOVE them some Colts. They also hate Ryan Tannehill, hate the fact the offensive line is below average (at best), along with the departure of AJ Brown. Oh, and they don’t like defensive-minded Mike Vrabel, either.

But this is the second straight season they are saying the same thing (except AJ Brown, of course). I get it, but I’m not buying it. In fact, what I am buying is this team. Lots of different ways. There is value all over the place in Nashville.

First off, this division is not good, and I don’t care how much Houston and/or Jacksonville is improved. I have already told you I don’t get why the Colts are that much better with Matt Ryan over Carson Wentz, so that is as much implied in my suggestion to buy the Titans as anything.

But I keep going back to the stretch of this team defeating Buffalo, Kansas City, Indianapolis, the Rams and the Saints in five straight weeks. Only a REALLY good team could do that, and other than swapping out Brown for Burks (which is a big deal), this team is not changed all that much.

And then there’s Vrabel, who consistently finds a way to squeeze every ounce of “winner” he can. He might not be the best game manager, but he just might be the one of the best season managers in football.

Will Tannehill be pressed by Malik Willis? Not likely this year, and if I am wrong, I likely am wrong about everything else when it comes to the Titans.

Projected finish: 11-6

Categories: Upstate Action

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