The Chicago Bears are tied for first in the NFC North, with a big reason for the start being the terrific play by the defensive unit. They will look to lean on that defense as they head to New York to take on the 2-1 New York Giants.
In the first three games of the season, the Bears defense has not given up a single touchdown in the second half. As good as the defense has been for the Bears, the offense has been that bad. Through three games, Justin Fields has completed only 23 passes, which is the fewest for a team through 3 games since the Patriots completed 16 in 1982.
Like the Bears, the Giants are also having some major issues on the offensive side of the ball. New York is averaging only 18.3 points in the team’s first three games, and a big reason is the Giants can’t protect Daniel Jones. Even in a 2-1 start, Jones has been sacked 13 times, which trails only Cincinnati (16 sacks) and Washington (15).
Caesars Sportsbook has listed the Giants as a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 39.
Let’s take a closer look at the odds and trends:
Chicago Bears at New York Giants
Time/TV: 1 p.m. Sunday, Fox
Point spread (from Caesars Sportsbook): New York -3
Money line: Chicago +140, New York -165
Analysis: While the passing game of the Bears has been historically bad, the team found something on the ground in the win against the Texans. Chicago rushed for 281 yards, which is the team’s most rushing yards in a game in 38 years (9/30/84 vs. Dallas). It was running back Khalil Herbert who had the big game, finishing with 157 yards and two touchdowns filling in for the injured David Montgomery.
Once again, much like the Bears, the ground game has been solid to start the season. Leading the way is Saquon Barkley. He is averaging 105.6 yards in the team’s first three games, reaching at least 72 in all three of those games. He is healthy and is showing the explosiveness that had the scouts all over him. With Sterling Shepard (ACL) out for the season, look for him to be used in the passing game even more.
These two teams are very even in terms of talent and also very similar in how they want the game to be played. The under has been the trend in the NFL this year, and this game looks to follow the trend.
Prediction: Giants 17, Bears 13
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