Odds to win Super Bowl MVP: Where do the star QBs fit in?

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes speaks with fans after an NFL divisional round playoff football against the Jacksonville Jaguars last Saturday in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes speaks with fans after an NFL divisional round playoff football against the Jacksonville Jaguars last Saturday in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
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The point spreads of both NFL conference championship games Sunday are less than three points, and the lookahead lines suggest the Super Bowl will be the same. So it’s difficult to pick a champion — and equally difficult to predict the Super Bowl MVP. That’s reflected in the MVP market at Caesars Sportsbook.

Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow is the +330 favorite to win MVP of the big game. The Bengals are +270 to win the Super Bowl, so the odds suggest that Burrow would be very likely to win the MVP in that case. Burrow is no stranger to individual hardware, of course, having won the Heisman Trophy in 2019. He is followed in very short order by Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts and Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes, who are both +350. The fourth remaining starting quarterback, Brock Purdy of the San Francisco 49ers, is +750.

Among non-quarterbacks, 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey has the best odds to be Super Bowl MVP at +1500. He’s followed by wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase, at +2000. Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce is +2500, followed by two more wide receivers, the 49ers’ Deebo Samuel at +2800 and the Eagles’ A.J. Brown at +3000. 49ers defensive end Nick Bosa is at +4000 and is the only defensive player lower than 60 to 1.

Last year, Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Cooper Kupp won the MVP, snapping a run of four quarterback winners in five years. In all, quarterbacks have won 31 of 56 MVP awards, with receivers next at eight MVP trophies and running backs/fullbacks at seven. McCaffrey could become the first running back to win MVP since the Denver Broncos’ Terrell Davis in Super Bowl XXXII in January 1998. Kelce would be the first tight end ever to win the award.

The award has gone to defensive players nine times, most recently to then-Broncos linebacker Von Miller at Super Bowl 50 in February 2016.

Super Bowl MVP odds

(From Caesars Sportsbook as of Wednesday evening)

Joe Burrow, Bengals QB +330

Jalen Hurts, Eagles QB +350

Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs QB +350

Brock Purdy, 49ers QB +750

Christian McCaffrey, 49ers RB +1500

Ja’Marr Chase, Bengals WR +2000

Travis Kelce, Chiefs TE +2500

Deebo Samuel, 49ers WR +2800

A.J. Brown, Eagles WR +3000

Nick Bosa, 49ers DE +4000

Devonta Smith, Eagles WR +5000

Chris Jones, Chiefs DT +6000

George Kittle, 49ers TE +8000

Miles Sanders, Eagles RB +8000

Tee Higgins, Bengals WR +8000

Haason Reddick, Eagles LB +8000

Joe Mixon, Bengals RB +8000

Fred Warner, 49ers LB +10000

Jerick McKinnon, Chiefs RB +10000

Kadarius Toney, Chiefs WR +12500

Darius Slay, Eagles CB +12500

Isiah Pacheco, Chiefs RB +15000

Talanoa Hufanga, 49ers S +15000

Brandon Aiyuk, 49ers WR +15000

Brandon Graham, Eagles DE +15000

Trey Hendrickson, Bengals DE +20000

JuJu Smith-Schuster, Chiefs WR +20000

Dallas Goedert, Eagles TE +20000

Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Chiefs WR +20000

Tyler Boyd, Bengals WR +20000

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