After having an early double digit lead seven weeks ago, Democratic Rep. Bill Owens is now locked in a near dead heat with his Republican challenger Matt Doheny, according to the latest Siena Research Institute poll.
Owens has the support of 44 percent of likely voters and Doheny has the support of 43 percent.
Doheny now has a tiny two-point lead among independent voters after having previously trailed Owens among independents by 30 points.
Owens had led among voters in the portion of the district he currently represents by 24 points and that lead is now seven points. Among voters in the area new to the 21st Congressional District, Doheny had a small three-point lead and now leads there by 10 points.
The Capital Region Scene has the details of the POLL.
“Owens is no stranger to close races, having won two nail-biting elections with less than 50 percent of the vote. Well, here we go again,” said Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg.
“Owens continues to have a significant double-digit lead in the northern/central portion of the district. Doheny has increased his lead in the area closest to the Capital District, most of which is new to the district, from four to 10 points," said Greenberg.
And the most dramatic movement came in the western part of the district, where Doheny had trailed Owens by 28 points and now is within three points. Owens leads among voters he currently represents by seven points, down from 24 points.
Meanwhile, Mitt Romney now leads President Obama 49-45 percent, after having trailed by five points in the prior Siena College poll of 21st CD voters.
“Thanks to a large swing by independent voters – who had supported Obama by 19 points and now favor Romney by three – Romney has turned a previous five-point deficit into a 49-45 percent lead over Obama,” Greenberg said. “Obama’s favorability rating dropped a little, while Romney’s jumped from being negative by nine points to being positive by five points, largely because of the views of independent voters.”