The Melbourne Cup is Australia’s most well-known yearly horse race. The 3200-meter race is conducted on the Flemington racecourse by the Victoria Racing Club with three-year-old (or older) horses.
Your first impression of the Melbourne Cup is a boatload of merrymakers having lots of fun, sipping champagne, and making a fair share of their wins. However, it’s not always all fun and smiles.
Most followers of the Melbourne Cup, regardless of means or location, enjoy placing a couple of bets (or more) on their favorite horses. Sometimes they make a win, and sometimes they don’t.
If you love making the occasional gamble but seem to be on a losing streak, then it means that there is something you may be doing wrong. Well, this article is meant to provide you with insights on how to select the winning horse. Click here to find the best odds for the Melbourne Cup.
However, before we get into that, we’ll have to make a disclaimer. This article provides you with a guideline that’ll help you choose a horse that’s more likely to win. We do not guarantee absolute results.
How to select a winning horse
Selecting the right horse isn’t easy since there is lots of analysis to be done. Seasoned betters often look at much more information than what’s mentioned here. However, you could still get a good idea of which horse is likely to win by looking at the information provided in the form guide.
Finishing place from previous races
A horse’s finishing place from previous races is referred to as the horse’s “form” and could be a significant factor when selecting the winning horse. That said, you shouldn’t go all out and place all your bets on a horse because it came at a good position in the previous race.
There could be a change of circumstances, and as such, there are several other factors that you’ll need to consider to help you make an informed decision. You’ll need to watch out for patterns. Look out for horses that are on a winning streak or those that place well consistently. However, you have to dig a little deeper.
How well the horse’s rested
You’ll need a well-rested horse; however, you should be careful and not go for one that’s too well-rested. The most preferred time-off period is between 15 to 30 days, and if other factors work favorably for the horse, then you could get some wiggle room.
Horses that have rested for too long may need one or two races to get back to peak form, while those that have barely rested may be too exhausted to. Both scenarios are less likely to produce a winning horse.
Do some research and go for horses that have started 14 races in the previous two years favored well in most of them and had a 25 to 50-day time-off in between races.
Previous distance and course win.
Check the form guide to see if your preferred horse has any fairly recent wins on the distance they’re set to race. It would also be a great idea to check whether the horse has any recent wins on the course they’re set to race. You could get this information from the letters noted beside each horse’s name.
A course win will be noted with the letter “C” while a distance win will be noted with the letter “D.” If the horse has won the distance and course, then they’ll be noted with the letters “CD.” You may need to do more in-depth research; however, you could fairly assume that horses noted with “CD” are more likely to perform well.
Trainer and Jockey data
While some may consider this information insignificant, it’s always a good idea to do extensive research and check all the boxes if you want to make a win. You could bet on trainers and jockeys with a proven winning history, especially if their horses check well on the abovementioned aspects.
It’s not a good idea to use this information by itself as a way of selecting your winning horse. You could use it to help you break the tie between horses that you can’t pick between.
You could consider your horse’s official ranking since it often plays a huge role in whether it will win. Experts do official horse ranking, which greatly indicates how well a horse is set to perform. Some individuals often use this factor as their sole indication for a winning horse.
It would also be a great idea to check on how much weight your preferred horse is carrying. Horses that can carry more weight are healthier and more likely to win. However, take care not to bet on horses that carry much more weight than they can handle.
While making the right bet can be tricky, especially if you haven’t done enough analysis. You have to remember that sometimes it’s all about luck. However, finding the right sources of information could help too. Click here –The Daily Gazette– to get all the sports information you need. Take your time, do your analysis, and make your bet. Good luck!